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AGCT and Army Alpha

History and purpose

After many concerns during World War II over the misassignment of soldiers into unsuitable roles and the underutilization of more capable soldiers, the US Army spent lots of resources towards commissioning an intelligence and aptitude test, resulting in the early forms of the AGCT. After the end of World War II, the AGCT continued to undergo constant improvements and revisions to ensure its accuracy. Amassing an enormous sample of more than 12 million soldiers, this transcends the samples of modern professional tests by over 5 thousand times.

Due to the wide range of ages that drafted soldiers could be, the test was tailored to provide accurate scores from teenagers to middle-aged adults. Furthermore, with drafted soldiers of all classes and lifestyles being the intended testees, the test was designed with questions that minimized prior knowledge from education and culture. Although interestingly enough, it was found that high correlations with schooling continued to endure.

A test of ‘g’

In order to rehabilitate this test for modern use, a few things had to be done.

  1. The original score distribution had to be re-normalized by correcting for skew
  2. Norm obsolescence, if any, had to be ascertained and accounted for
  3. The g-loading has to be estimated

Original distribution

The original distribution is highly left-skewed. This is because those charged with the norming underestimated the number of easy questions on the test. This resulted in a test that discriminates well in the low range (you don’t want to draft morons), but not as effectively in the higher range.

In order to correct for this flaw, the test had to be re-normalized. With percentile rank-equating, it is possible to generate new aligned norms.

Standard Deviation

This is the original distribution:

Standard Deviation

This is the fixed distribution:

Standard Deviation

Overall, most of the changes happened in the low range, however, this step was necessary for psychometric rigor.

Norm obsolescence

It is normal to wonder if a test from 1941, 82 years ago, is still valid today.

Consider this:

Standard Deviation

In 1980, during the renorming of the ASVAB, the AGCT was pitted against it. It was found that the percentiles matched nicely at all ranges. 39 years later, where Flynn effects would have predicted a systematic inflation of nearly 12 pts, what was found was a simple fluctuation of the sign of the difference between the tests throughout the range. This can be easily attributed to either sampling or error of measurement. There are absolutely no Flynn effects for this test.

Before it was released on the subreddit, it was given to dozens of people within the community with known scores from professional tests. More often than not, AGCT ended up being one of their lower rather than higher scores. This gives me great confidence to declare that the AGCT is not an obsolete test.

Construct validity

The ‘g-loading’ is the degree to which a test correlates with the ‘g factor’ or general intelligence. A higher g-loading means a test is better, and figures above 0.8 are generally considered to be great. These correlations are often derived through factor analysis. As item data for this test is impossible to get by, we can first estimate this test’s accuracy by its proxy g-loading from its successors, the ASVAB and AFOQT.

Factor analyzing these two batteries, and deriving composites from subtests that most resemble the AGCT in terms of content was the only way to get an appraisal of its construct validity.

From the ASVAB, the pseudo-AGCT composite yielded a g-loading of .92, whereas the AFOQT pseudo-AGCT composite had a g-loading of .90. Averaging the two gives an estimate of ~.91. 

Furthermore, using data from the automated AGCT form at CognitiveMetrics, the g-loading for the AGCT can be calculated. With a sample size of 1734 and M 121.7 SD 12.95, we can calculate the reliability at 0.941 and after being corrected for range, 0.956. 

The g-loading of this sample is 0.816 and after being corrected for range restriction and SLODR, the g-loading has been calculated at 0.925, further aligning with our estimations above. The g-loading unadjusted for V is 0.535, Q is 0.733, and S is 0.597. It isn’t possible to correct for SLODR due to lack of individual norms, but after correcting for range restriction, the g-loadings are 0.659 for V, 0.733 for Q, and 0.646 for S.

Standard Deviation

A g-loading of 0.925 is highly impressive for an 82-year-old test. Factorial validity is manifest.

Convergent Validity

Standard Deviation

In 2023, the AGCT was proctored to 58 individuals with verified scores on professional tests and the above relationship was calculated. The correlation was calculated at r = 0.7219, with the average estimated g-loading of the professional test composite being 0.924.

Here are the correlations for some of the most prominent tests directly:

TestnrrRRMeanSDMean-AGCT*SD-AGCT*
Composite580.72190.8621132.069.98128.489.20
Old SAT290.69640.8477133.2110.33130.729.11
Old GRE200.76230.8755134.2510.10131.559.75
CAIT370.69570.8378135.4911.76129.499.47
WAIS-IV140.64840.7515132.0712.47130.6411.22
SB-V90.74350.8644127.339.11127.119.70

rRR: Since these correlations were calculated on a sample from a higher ability population, they were corrected for range restriction so they better approximate the correlations that would be observed in an unrestricted population.

*Since not every participant took every test, these are the corresponding AGCT scores for those who took the specific test.

These subjects took the Army General Classification Test (AGCT), which is as highly correlated (r .80) with various IQ tests as the IQ tests are correlated with each other.

Arthur Jensen, The g Factor (p. 376)[^g_factor]

These values are in direct alignment with Jensen's observations of samples from WW2. The withstanding strong correlations to modern batteries shows how robust the AGCT is to the Flynn Effect.

Predictive Validity

AGCT Scores per Individual OccupationMean
Accountant121.1
Lawyer120.7
Public Relations Man119.5
Auditor119.4
Chemist118.6
Reporter118.4
Chief Clerk118.2
Teacher117.1
Draftsman116.5
Stenographer115.8
Pharmacist115.4
Tabulating Machine Operator115.1
Bookkeeper115.0
Manager, Sales114.3
Purchasing Agent114.0
Production Manager113.6
Photographer113.2
Clerk, General113.1
Clerk, Typist112.6
Installer, Telephone and Telegraph111.9
Cashier111.9
Instrument Repairman111.6
Radio Repairman111.5
Artist111.2
Manager, Retail Store110.5
Laboratory Assistant110.1
Tool Maker109.4
Stock Clerk108.9
Musician108.2
Machinist107.6
Watchmaker107.4
Airplane Mechanic107.0
Sales Clerk106.9
Electrician106.8
Lathe Operator106.4
Receiving and Shipping Checker105.7
Sheet Metal Worker105.6
Lineman, Power and Tel. & Tel.105.3
Auto Service Man103.2
Riveter103.1
Cabinetmaker102.6
Upholsterer102.5
Butcher102.2
Plumber102.0
Bartender101.7
Carpenter, Construction101.6
Pipe Fitter101.4
Welder101.4
Auto Mechanic101.0
Molder100.8
Chauffeur100.6
Tractor Driver99.6
Painter, General98.7
Crane Hoist Operator98.4
Weaver97.8
Barber96.5
Farmer94.5
Farmhand93.6
Miner92.9
Teamster90.8

AGCT Scores per Major Occupational GroupMean
Professional117.2
Managerial114.1
Semiprofessional113.2
Sales109.1
Clerical103.3
Skilled101.3
Semiskilled99.7
Personal Service99.0
Agricultural94.0

AGCT Scores per Type of WorkMean
Literary Work118.9
Technical Work117.3
Public Service117.1
Managerial Work112.8
Artistic Work112.2
Recording Work111.8
Public Contact Work109.1
Musical Work108.2
Manipulative Work104.5
Crafts103.8
Machine Trades102.6
Observational Work100.2
Personal Service Work99.0
Farming92.9

AGCT Scores per Field of SpecializationDegree Level10th25th50th75th90th
Natural SciencesAB111116121126132
Graduate students114119125130135
PhD117123129136144
ChemistryAB112117123128134
Graduate students114120126132136
PhD119124130136143
Physical Sciences, otherAB112117124129137
Graduate students117122127132136
PhD117126132141146
Earth SciencesAB111115120126129
Graduate students111116122128133
PhD120125129137145
Biological SciencesAB109114120125130
Graduate students113117123129134
PhD115120126132138
PsychologyAB110114121126132
Graduate students117123128132137
PhD119125132141147
Social SciencesAB108113120124129
Graduate students111116122129134
EconomicsAB111115120126132
Graduate students111116123129134
HistoryAB108114119124129
Graduate students111116122127133
Other Social SciencesAB106111117123128
Graduate students111116122129134
Humanities and ArtsAB110115120126131
Graduate students111117123129135
EnglishAB111116121127132
Graduate students115120126131135
LanguagesAB111116121126132
Graduate students111117123130136
Philosophy and other HumanitiesAB107114117125129
Graduate students113120126132136
Fine ArtsAB109114120124130
Graduate students109114120126132
EngineeringAB111117122128134
Graduate students114117123129134
PhD116123129137140
Applied BiologyAB105111116120126
Graduate students113117129126131
AgricultureAB111114118123128
Graduate students116120124129133
PhD110116123128133
Home EconomicsAB100108114118123
Graduate students108112116120123
Health FieldsGraduate students112117123128133
MedicineMedical school students114119124129134
DentistryDental school students109114120126132
NursingAB110114119126132
OtherGraduate students112117123129134
Business and CommerceAB108113118123128
Graduate students109114120125130
EducationAB104111117122126
Graduate students109114120125129
Education, generalAB105112117123127
Graduate students110114120126129
Physical EducationAB99108113118126
Graduate students106111115119122
Other Fields
LawLaw school graduates113115122125130
Social WorkGraduate students109114120124129
All Fields Combined (weighted averages)AB109114120125130
Graduate students111116122128133

Further Reading

https://sci-hub.wf/10.1037/0021-9010.77.6.875

https://clearinghouse-umich-production.s3.amazonaws.com/media/doc/79410.pdf

https://www.yumpu.com/en/document/read/15323423/the-asvab-score-scales-1980-and-world-war-ii-cna